We use cookies on this website to give you a better user experience. By continuing to browse the site, you are agreeing to our use of cookies. Learn more

Scenario Analysis of Energy Security in the East Asia Summit Region

Scenario Analysis of Energy Security in the East Asia Summit Region
28 November 2015
Ichiro Kutani, Shimpei Yamamoto, Phoumin Han, Heang Bora, Hong Cao, Retno Gumilang Dewi, Mitsuru Motokura, Kazutaka Fukasawa, Khamso Kouphokham, Siti Azrah Mohd Ibrahim, Han Tun Oo, Jesus T. Tamang, Woongtae Chung, Lixia Yao, Supit Padprem, Duc Song Nguyen
Ichiro Kutani, Mitsuru Motokura, Phoumin Han
Energy, Regulation and Governance

Print Article:


This energy security study uses three scenarios as key factors affecting regional energy security: supply uncertainty in the Middle East and Russia, low oil price, and use of cheap coal. In each scenario, the plausible outcomes are generated based on expert analyses. This study further proposes the following policy recommendations: (i) Create a resilient-energy system which means that importing countries need to have diversified fuel mix, shifting from fossil fuel consumption to more renewable energy. For exporting countries, this means becoming less dependent on oil revenue for domestic economic growth.(ii) The exporting country needs to have an earning margin, which is also fair enough to reflect affordability of importing countries. (iii) Encouraging, implementing and accelerating the deployment of high-efficiency coal-fired power generation and other environmental technologies are key to use resource effectively and held abate carbon dioxide emissions, and thus contributing to energy security.

Full Report







List of Figures

List of Abbreviations

List of Project Member

Chapter 1. Introduction

Chapter 2. History of Energy Security in the Region

Chapter 3. Future Threat on Energy Security

Chapter 4. Major Findings and Policy Implications

Search ERIA.org

Latest Multimedia

Indonesias ASEAN Chairmanship 2023 High-Level Policy Dialogue: ASEAN Digital Community 2045

ERIA Knowledge Lab Discusses Scaling Up Innovation and Digital Technology Ecosystem

Is ASEAN Ready for Electric Vehicles? | ASEAN Insights Podcast

Latest Articles

Blue Economy, ASEAN
30 November 2023
Editor(s)/Author(s): Intan Murnira Ramli, Tomy Waskitho
The Blue Economy has emerged as a compelling strategy for safeguarding inland water and ocean resources while[...]
Energy, Infrastructure, Innovation and Technology, Electrified Vehicle, East Asia Summit
29 November 2023
Editor(s)/Author(s): Shinichirou Morimoto, Shabbir Gheewala, Nuwong Chollacoop, Venkatachalam Anbumozhi
The broader adoption of non-fossil fuel vehicles, such as those running on biofuels and electric power, is[...]